COVID-19 COMPARISON OF DEATHS IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES BY USING THE SAME PREDICTION ALGORITHM


The model predicts the future deaths based on daily deaths reported by the source of information for the next 30 days from the date of calculation onwards.

Source of information: https://opendata.ecdc.europa.eu/covid19/casedistribution/csv

Algorithm: EXPONENTIAL_SMOOTHING

Prediction step: 30 days onwards

Date of calculation: 21th, Apr 2020 23:oo CET

Prediction tool: Oracle Autonomous Database version 18c, Always Free instance created in Frankfurt datacenter on 4th Apr 2020

Disclaimer: This is not a scientific research work. It is just the output of a tool. As it is, with no warranties. Use it as your own risk.

See also this post

Comments

The algorithm calculates the deaths based in historical data and then predicts the next 3o days. Obviously the prediction is only intended to see how the tendency is.

China

Area under the graph: 3353

Italy

Area under the graph: 32531

Spain

Area under the graph: 27087

UK

Area under the graph: 29671

Germany

Area under the graph: 9698

USA

Area under the graph: 108860

World

Area under the graph: 338568

Hope it helps! :-((

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