COVID-19 DEATHS PREDICTION WITH ORACLE MACHINE LEARNING NOTEBOOKS | UPDATE 3


The model predicts the future deaths based on daily deaths reported by the source of information for the next 30 days from the date of calculation onwards.

Source of information: https://opendata.ecdc.europa.eu/covid19/casedistribution/csv

Algorithm: EXPONENTIAL_SMOOTHING

Prediction step: 30 days onwards

Date of calculation: 10th, May 2020 23:59 CEST

Prediction tool: Oracle Autonomous Database version 18c, Always Free instance created in Frankfurt datacenter on 4th Apr 2020

Disclaimer: This is not a scientific research work. It is just the output of a tool. As it is, with no warranties. Use it as your own risk.

See also this post

Table

Total deaths
reported
on 10th may
Prediction calculated as of
23/Apr/2020
Prediction calculated as of
28/Apr/2020
Prediction calculated as of
3/may/2020
Prediction calculated as of
10/may/2020
CHINA4,6373,3533,3533,3533,353
ITALY30,39532,53130,19737,30532,522
SPAIN26,62127,08725,98426,72627,825
UK31,58729,67126,21344,29837,638
GERMANY7,3959,6988,4048,3867,841
USA78,794108,86083,572103,769122,335
WORLD279,957338,568281,737368,233399,626
Total deaths prediction table

Stay safe!!

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